Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Greg Hardy has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Greg Hardy has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Greg Hardy has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Greg HardyL2 streak
oldest →L
DECvs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricGreg Hardy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24Δ 2.72 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tai TuivasaGreg Hardy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +33.2|Blue -33.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tai TuivasaTargetGreg Hardy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tai Tuivasa edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
