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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Omari Akhmedov won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Elo1494
Omari Akhmedov

Abdul Razak AlhassanvsOmari AkhmedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · Sunday, May 28, 2017Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Omari Akhmedov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Omari Akhmedov wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Omari Akhmedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Omari Akhmedov at +235 American odds

+$235 profit

$335 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Abdul Razak Alhassan
Red Corner
VS
Omari Akhmedov
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
1491
Elo
1494
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23
L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23
L
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25
latest
Omari Akhmedov
oldest →
W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19
W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19
L
DECvs Chris Weidman · Aug 20
W
SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21
L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Abdul Razak AlhassanMetricOmari Akhmedov
3.64
Strikes / min
2.97
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.84
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.84
TDs / 15 min
2.58
51%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1519Strikes12.0 vs 27.6Takedowns0.0 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.29Form1.0 vs 0.2
Abdul Razak AlhassanOmari Akhmedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.6|Blue +2.6
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Abdul Razak AlhassanTargetOmari Akhmedov

By target zone

37
42% acc · 86%
Head
42
30% acc · 81%
3
60% acc · 7%
Body
6
67% acc · 12%
3
50% acc · 7%
Leg
4
100% acc · 8%

By position

37
41% acc · 86%
Distance
38
30% acc · 73%
6
75% acc · 14%
Clinch
2
40% acc · 4%
0
Ground
12
55% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds
0
even
3
Omari Akhmedov rounds
Round 1Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:02Control
Round 2Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:25Control
Round 3Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:01
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
43 / 99
Sig Strikes
52 / 153
42.3%
Sig Str %
33.3%
44 / 102
Total Strikes
99 / 213
0 / 0
TDs
6 / 9
—
TD %
66.7%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
5:40

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Omari Akhmedov13 / 5417 / 581 / 20
1Abdul Razak Alhassan9 / 319 / 320 / 00
2Omari Akhmedov26 / 6246 / 893 / 30
2Abdul Razak Alhassan20 / 3821 / 390 / 00
3Omari Akhmedov13 / 3736 / 662 / 40
3Abdul Razak Alhassan14 / 3014 / 310 / 00

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Omari Akhmedov

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14