Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Cynthia Calvillo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cynthia Calvillo has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cynthia CalvilloL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23 Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cynthia CalvilloMetricCarla Esparza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cynthia CalvilloCarla Esparza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)Carla Esparza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -42.4|Blue +42.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cynthia CalvilloTargetCarla Esparza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cynthia Calvillo edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:51
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 2Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:30
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
