Featherweight

3 Rounds

Kaan Ofli won · M-DEC R3

Elo1551

Elo1491

Kaan OflivsYizhaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Saturday, January 31, 2026Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Kaan Ofli won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yizha wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Kaan Ofli wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yizha at -245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yizha is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Kaan Ofli has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Yizha has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Yizha has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kaan Ofli

Red Corner

Yizha

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1551

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kaan OfliW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mairon Santos · Aug 24

vs Muhammad Naimov · Feb 25

SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 25

SUBvs Javier Reyes · Jun 26

latest

Yizha

oldest →

vs JeongYeong Lee · Feb 23

vs Gabriel Santos · Sep 24

KOvs Westin Wilson · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kaan OfliMetricYizha

2.33

Strikes / min

3.25

3.34

Strikes absorbed / min

2.88

54%

Strike defense

49%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

3.42

Takedown defense

64%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.01Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kaan OfliYizha

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kaan Ofli(5 fights)Yizha(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +60.3|Blue -60.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kaan OfliTargetYizha

By target zone

28% acc · 46%

Head

47% acc · 65%

86% acc · 40%

Body

71% acc · 25%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

42% acc · 79%

Distance

53% acc · 85%

64% acc · 15%

Clinch

71% acc · 7%

60% acc · 6%

Ground

63% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kaan Ofli rounds

even

Yizha rounds

Round 1Kaan Ofli edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control2:20

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Yizha edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Yizha edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:37

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:34Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 107

Sig Strikes

68 / 124

44.7%

Sig Str %

54.3%

53 / 114

Total Strikes

75 / 133

0 / 7

TDs

3 / 3

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:57

Ctrl Time

1:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yizha	19 / 34	22 / 38	0 / 0
1	Kaan Ofli	23 / 38	28 / 44	0 / 2
2	Yizha	31 / 57	34 / 61	1 / 1
2	Kaan Ofli	10 / 38	10 / 39	0 / 2
3	Yizha	18 / 33	19 / 34	2 / 2
3	Kaan Ofli	15 / 31	15 / 31	0 / 3

Kaan Ofli

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights5

Yizha

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4