Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Drakkar Klose enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joel Alvarez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Drakkar Klose has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Drakkar Klose has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Joel Alvarez has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joel Alvarez
oldest →L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Feb 22W
SUBvs Marc Diakiese · Jul 23W
KOvs Elves Brener · Aug 24W
vs Vicente Luque · Oct 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · May 26 Drakkar KloseW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Brandon Jenkins · Apr 22W
KOvs Joe Solecki · Dec 23W
vs Joaquim Silva · May 24W
vs Edson Barboza · Aug 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joel AlvarezMetricDrakkar Klose
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.50evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joel AlvarezDrakkar Klose
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joel Alvarez(10 fights)Drakkar Klose(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joel AlvarezTargetDrakkar Klose
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joel Alvarez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:04
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:08Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
