Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lauren Murphy has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sara McMann
oldest →L
SUBvs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 17L
SUBvs Marion Reneau · Feb 18W
vs Lina Lansberg · Jan 20L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jan 21 Lauren MurphyL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sara McMannMetricLauren Murphy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sara McMannLauren Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sara McMann(10 fights)Lauren Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sara McMannTargetLauren Murphy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sara McMann edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control4:48
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sara McMann edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control3:56
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control1:54
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
