Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Amanda Ribas has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Amanda Ribas has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda RibasL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23W
KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23L
vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25L
KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25 Paige VanZant
oldest →L
SUBvs Rose Namajunas · Dec 15W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda RibasMetricPaige VanZant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.97evenly matched on net striking+0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amanda RibasPaige VanZant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Ribas(10 fights)Paige VanZant(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.4|Blue +12.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.6|Blue +2.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -420.0|Blue +420.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amanda RibasTargetPaige VanZant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Amanda Ribas edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:08
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
