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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Abdul Razak Alhassan won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Elo1445
Niko Price

Abdul Razak AlhassanvsNiko PriceUFC Prediction Result

UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Saturday, September 8, 2018Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Abdul Razak Alhassan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:43

Model Prediction: Abdul Razak Alhassan wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Abdul Razak Alhassan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Abdul Razak Alhassan at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Abdul Razak Alhassan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Abdul Razak Alhassan
Red Corner
VS
Niko Price
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
1491
Elo
1445
40
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23
L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23
L
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25
latest
Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24
L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24
L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25
L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26
L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Abdul Razak AlhassanMetricNiko Price
3.64
Strikes / min
5.11
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
54%
Strike defense
48%
0.84
TDs / 15 min
1.06
51%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1556Strikes23.8 vs 16.7Takedowns0.3 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.83Form0.6 vs 0.7
Abdul Razak AlhassanNiko Price

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14301453147514981520← oldermost recent →
Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +46.2|Blue -46.2
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Abdul Razak AlhassanTargetNiko Price

By target zone

11
65% acc · 73%
Head
2
33% acc · 50%
3
100% acc · 20%
Body
2
50% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 7%
Leg
0

By position

14
70% acc · 93%
Distance
4
40% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 7%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds
0
even
0
Niko Price rounds
Round 1Abdul Razak Alhassan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
15 / 21
Sig Strikes
4 / 10
71%
Sig Str %
40%
15 / 21
Total Strikes
4 / 10
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Niko Price4 / 104 / 100 / 10
1Abdul Razak Alhassan15 / 2115 / 210 / 00

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Niko Price

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19