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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Mounir Lazzez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1491
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Elo1496
Mounir Lazzez

Abdul Razak AlhassanvsMounir LazzezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Mounir Lazzez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Abdul Razak Alhassan wins(74.9%)

Actual result: Mounir Lazzez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Abdul Razak Alhassan at -345 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Abdul Razak Alhassan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Mounir Lazzez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Mounir Lazzez has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Abdul Razak Alhassan
Red Corner
VS
Mounir Lazzez
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
1491
Elo
1496
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23
L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23
L
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25
latest
Mounir Lazzez
oldest →
L
KOvs Warlley Alves · Jan 21
W
vs Ange Loosa · Apr 22
L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jan 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Abdul Razak AlhassanMetricMounir Lazzez
3.64
Strikes / min
7.49
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
5.42
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.84
TDs / 15 min
1.80
51%
Takedown defense
71%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap+2.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1553 vs 1500Strikes4.6 vs 0.0Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.8 vs 0.0
Abdul Razak AlhassanMounir Lazzez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)Mounir Lazzez(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -4.5|Blue +4.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -48.7|Blue +48.7
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Abdul Razak AlhassanTargetMounir Lazzez

By target zone

49
45% acc · 73%
Head
51
43% acc · 52%
6
100% acc · 9%
Body
25
69% acc · 26%
12
63% acc · 18%
Leg
22
96% acc · 22%

By position

61
51% acc · 91%
Distance
78
52% acc · 80%
6
43% acc · 9%
Clinch
14
70% acc · 14%
0
Ground
6
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds
0
even
3
Mounir Lazzez rounds
Round 1Mounir Lazzez edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
41Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Mounir Lazzez edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
45Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 3Mounir Lazzez edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:31
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
67 / 133
Sig Strikes
98 / 177
52%
Sig Str %
57.3%
70 / 136
Total Strikes
114 / 194
1 / 4
TDs
4 / 4
25%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:31
Ctrl Time
4:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mounir Lazzez41 / 8241 / 821 / 10
1Abdul Razak Alhassan39 / 8342 / 860 / 00
2Mounir Lazzez45 / 7658 / 892 / 20
2Abdul Razak Alhassan18 / 3118 / 310 / 00
3Mounir Lazzez12 / 1915 / 231 / 10
3Abdul Razak Alhassan10 / 1910 / 191 / 40

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Mounir Lazzez

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4