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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jacob Malkoun won · U-DEC

Elo1491

Elo1529

Abdul Razak AlhassanvsJacob MalkounUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Saturday, April 17, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jacob Malkoun won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(70.0%)

Actual result: Jacob Malkoun wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Malkoun at +250 American odds

+$250 profit

$350 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Red Corner

Jacob Malkoun

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1491

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21

vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22

KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23

SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23

KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25

latest

Jacob MalkounW3 streak

oldest →

vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23

KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24

vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26

DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Abdul Razak AlhassanMetricJacob Malkoun

3.64

Strikes / min

4.23

4.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

54%

Strike defense

55%

0.84

TDs / 15 min

5.39

51%

Takedown defense

55%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap+1.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Abdul Razak AlhassanJacob Malkoun

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -37.8|Blue +37.8

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Abdul Razak AlhassanTargetJacob Malkoun

By target zone

33% acc · 52%

Head

47% acc · 89%

75% acc · 43%

Body

67% acc · 7%

50% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

37% acc · 67%

Distance

49% acc · 67%

83% acc · 24%

Clinch

33% acc · 11%

67% acc · 10%

Ground

67% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds

even

Jacob Malkoun rounds

Round 1Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

3:45Control

Round 2Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:59Control

Round 3Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:02

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:57Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 47

Sig Strikes

27 / 55

44%

Sig Str %

45.3%

32 / 59

Total Strikes

91 / 135

0 / 0

TDs

8 / 24

—

TD %

36%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

11:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jacob Malkoun	3 / 10	15 / 30	4 / 11	0
1	Abdul Razak Alhassan	10 / 21	11 / 22	0 / 0	0
2	Jacob Malkoun	13 / 24	33 / 46	2 / 4	2
2	Abdul Razak Alhassan	4 / 9	6 / 11	0 / 0	0
3	Jacob Malkoun	11 / 21	43 / 59	2 / 9	0
3	Abdul Razak Alhassan	7 / 17	15 / 26	0 / 0	0

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8