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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1564
Elo1451

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevvsJulius WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:08

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Style matchupAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev: WrestlervsJulius Walker: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Julius Walker wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Red Corner
VS
Julius Walker
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1564
Elo
1451
25
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Rafael Cerqueira · Nov 25
W
SUBvs Brendson Ribeiro · Apr 26
latest
Julius Walker
oldest →
L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Feb 25
W
vs Rafael Cerqueira · Aug 25
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevMetricJulius Walker
7.40
Strikes / min
3.73
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
57%
Strike defense
43%
11.49
TDs / 15 min
4.09
100%
Takedown defense
100%
7.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+5.10Δ 5.40 — meaningful gap-0.30
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401475151015451580← oldermost recent →
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev(3 fights)Julius Walker(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +113.4|Blue -113.4
Recent Form
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +4.1|Blue -4.1
Layoff
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevTargetJulius Walker

By target zone

6
75% acc · 100%
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

1
100% acc · 17%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
5
71% acc · 83%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev rounds
0
even
0
Julius Walker rounds
Round 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 8
Sig Strikes
0 / 1
75%
Sig Str %
0%
6 / 8
Total Strikes
0 / 1
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Julius Walker0 / 10 / 10 / 00
1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev6 / 86 / 80 / 00

The Pick

Vegas favorite
Odds

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 56% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3

Julius Walker

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights4