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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Loik Radzhabov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1513

Elo1499

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyvsLoik RadzhabovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Saturday, March 2, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Loik Radzhabov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:49

Model Prediction: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Loik Radzhabov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Red Corner

Loik Radzhabov

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+114

(47%)

1513

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

oldest →

vs Shem Rock · Mar 26

latest

Loik RadzhabovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 23

KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · Jun 23

vs Trey Ogden · Jul 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyMetricLoik Radzhabov

4.61

Strikes / min

2.89

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.76

60%

Strike defense

46%

1.47

TDs / 15 min

4.65

54%

Takedown defense

42%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.18Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyLoik Radzhabov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady(2 fights)Loik Radzhabov(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +13.2|Blue -13.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyTargetLoik Radzhabov

By target zone

44% acc · 39%

Head

46% acc · 85%

73% acc · 21%

Body

40% acc · 15%

65% acc · 39%

Leg

0% acc

By position

56% acc · 89%

Distance

29% acc · 46%

57% acc · 11%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

Ground

76% acc · 49%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady rounds

even

Loik Radzhabov rounds

Round 1Loik Radzhabov edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:00

14Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 2Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control1:40

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Loik Radzhabov edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:04

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 68

Sig Strikes

39 / 90

52%

Sig Str %

45.3%

50 / 84

Total Strikes

57 / 115

3 / 7

TDs

4 / 5

46.7%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:44

Ctrl Time

1:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Loik Radzhabov	14 / 35	25 / 49	4 / 4
1	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	12 / 26	17 / 33	0 / 1
2	Loik Radzhabov	12 / 34	18 / 43	0 / 0
2	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	22 / 33	29 / 42	2 / 5
3	Loik Radzhabov	13 / 21	14 / 23	0 / 1
3	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	4 / 9	4 / 9	1 / 1

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2

Loik Radzhabov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4