Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bogdan Guskov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Zac Pauga has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Zac Pauga has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zac Pauga has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zac Pauga
oldest →L
KOvs Mohammed Usman · Aug 22W
vs Jordan Wright · Feb 23L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Jun 23 Bogdan Guskov
oldest →W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Apr 24W
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 25D
vs Jan Blachowicz · Dec 25L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zac PaugaMetricBogdan Guskov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.73Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Zac PaugaBogdan Guskov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zac Pauga(4 fights)Bogdan Guskov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -30.1|Blue +30.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Zac PaugaTargetBogdan Guskov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:04
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
