Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Young enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Austin Arnett has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane YoungL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rolando Dy · Jun 18L
KOvs Ludovit Klein · Sep 20L
vs Omar Morales · Mar 21L
vs Blake Bilder · Feb 23L
SUBvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 23 Austin Arnett
oldest →L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Jan 18L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jul 18W
vs Humberto Bandenay · Nov 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane YoungMetricAustin Arnett
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.27Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shane YoungAustin Arnett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Young(7 fights)Austin Arnett(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -18.7|Blue +18.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shane YoungTargetAustin Arnett
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Shane Young edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:08
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Shane Young edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:09
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Shane Young edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
