Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Molly McCann won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1491

Elo1500

Molly McCannvsLuana CarolinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Saturday, March 19, 2022London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Molly McCann won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:52

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsLuana Carolina: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Luana Carolina wins(66.8%)

Actual result: Molly McCann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luana Carolina at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Molly McCann has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Luana Carolina has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Luana Carolina has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann

Red Corner

Luana Carolina

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1491

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

157.48 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24

SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25

latest

Luana Carolina

oldest →

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23

vs Ivana Petrovic · Jul 23

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24

vs Lucie Pudilova · Jul 24

vs Michelle Montague · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricLuana Carolina

5.28

Strikes / min

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

62%

Strike defense

51%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.30

38%

Takedown defense

68%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63evenly matched on net striking+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Molly McCannLuana Carolina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Molly McCann(10 fights)Luana Carolina(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.9|Blue +8.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetLuana Carolina

By target zone

44% acc · 61%

Head

30% acc · 41%

78% acc · 33%

Body

85% acc · 52%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

50% acc · 81%

Distance

42% acc · 73%

78% acc · 16%

Clinch

89% acc · 27%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Molly McCann rounds

even

Luana Carolina rounds

Round 1Molly McCann edged it

Sig. strikes56

Takedowns0

Control0:58

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control3:05

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Molly McCann edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:27

Knockdowns1

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 159

Sig Strikes

64 / 132

55%

Sig Str %

49%

99 / 174

Total Strikes

76 / 144

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:30

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Luana Carolina	22 / 52	23 / 53	0 / 0
1	Molly McCann	56 / 107	61 / 112	0 / 0
2	Luana Carolina	26 / 51	33 / 58	0 / 0
2	Molly McCann	15 / 30	23 / 39	2 / 2
3	Luana Carolina	16 / 29	20 / 33	0 / 0
3	Molly McCann	14 / 22	15 / 23	0 / 0

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights14

Luana Carolina

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights10