Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonard Garcia enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Nam Phan has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nam PhanL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dennis Siver · Dec 12L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Dec 13 Leonard GarciaL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Chan Sung Jung · Mar 11L
vs Max Holloway · Dec 12L
vs Cody McKenzie · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nam PhanMetricLeonard Garcia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.03evenly matched on net striking-2.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nam PhanLeonard Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nam Phan(8 fights)Leonard Garcia(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nam PhanTargetLeonard Garcia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nam Phan edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:08
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Nam Phan edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control2:27
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 3Nam Phan edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:06
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
