Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marlon Vera has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricCory Sandhagen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marlon VeraCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.9|Blue +9.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marlon VeraTargetCory Sandhagen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:30Control
Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:50Control
Round 3Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 4Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 5Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:09
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
