Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Bocek enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
- Mark Bocek has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark BocekW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Dustin Hazelett · Dec 10L
vs Benson Henderson · Apr 11W
vs John Alessio · Apr 12W
vs Mike de la Torre · Apr 14 Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark BocekMetricRafael Dos Anjos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark BocekRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Bocek(7 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +81.0|Blue -81.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark BocekTargetRafael Dos Anjos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:58
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:15
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:22Control
Round 3Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:29
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
