Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Reinier de Ridder (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Reinier de RidderL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricReinier de Ridder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin HollandReinier de Ridder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -15.2|Blue +15.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin HollandTargetReinier de Ridder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Reinier de Ridder rounds
Round 1Reinier de Ridder edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
