Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jose Aldo has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25 Frankie EdgarL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricFrankie Edgar
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.16Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jose AldoFrankie Edgar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Frankie Edgar(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +52.6|Blue -52.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jose AldoTargetFrankie Edgar
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jose Aldo edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jose Aldo edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:04
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Frankie Edgar edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:01
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Frankie Edgar edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 5Frankie Edgar edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
