Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Sarafian threatens submissions; Kiichi Kunimoto has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Daniel Sarafian has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Sarafian has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Sarafian
oldest →W
SUBvs Eddie Mendez · Jun 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Dec 14L
KOvs Oluwale Bamgbose · Feb 16 Kiichi KunimotoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Richard Walsh · Sep 14L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Feb 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricKiichi Kunimoto
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel SarafianKiichi Kunimoto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Kiichi Kunimoto(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +129.9|Blue -129.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel SarafianTargetKiichi Kunimoto
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kiichi Kunimoto edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
