Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Garreth McLellan has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bubba Bush has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Garreth McLellan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bubba BushNo prior UFC fights on record.
Garreth McLellanL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Apr 15L
KOvs Magnus Cedenblad · May 16L
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 16L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Mar 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bubba BushMetricGarreth McLellan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-6.38Δ 7.00 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bubba BushGarreth McLellan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bubba Bush(1 fights)Garreth McLellan(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +130.9|Blue -130.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bubba BushTargetGarreth McLellan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bubba Bush edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control4:20
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Garreth McLellan edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:37
52Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:01Control
Round 3Garreth McLellan edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control1:00
44Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
