Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul Felder
oldest →W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 17W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19 Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul FelderMetricRafael Dos Anjos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paul FelderRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Felder(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -98.9|Blue +98.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paul FelderTargetRafael Dos Anjos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:13
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:06Control
Round 2Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:43Control
Round 3Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:38
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:17Control
Round 4Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:49
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 5Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
