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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ashlee Evans-Smith won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1468
Elo1492
Veronica Macedo

Ashlee Evans-SmithvsVeronica MacedoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · Saturday, September 3, 2016Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Ashlee Evans-Smith won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:46

Model Prediction: Ashlee Evans-Smith wins(67.0%)

Actual result: Ashlee Evans-Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ashlee Evans-Smith at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Veronica Macedo threatens submissions; Ashlee Evans-Smith has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Veronica Macedo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ashlee Evans-Smith
Red Corner
VS
Veronica Macedo
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
1468
Elo
1492
39
Age
20
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ashlee Evans-SmithL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17
W
vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18
L
vs Andrea Lee · Feb 19
L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 20
L
vs Ailin Perez · Jul 23
latest
Veronica Macedo
oldest →
L
vs Andrea Lee · May 18
L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Feb 19
W
SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 19
L
vs Bea Malecki · Mar 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ashlee Evans-SmithMetricVeronica Macedo
4.03
Strikes / min
—
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
—
53%
Strike defense
—
0.95
TDs / 15 min
—
50%
Takedown defense
—
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1500Strikes33.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.5 vs 0.0
Ashlee Evans-SmithVeronica Macedo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)Veronica Macedo(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -23.9|Blue +23.9
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ashlee Evans-Smith

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9

Veronica Macedo

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4