Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24 Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricMarcin Tybura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Andrei ArlovskiMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Andrei ArlovskiTargetMarcin Tybura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
35Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:06Control
Round 2Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control3:56
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
