Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias Theodorou
oldest →W
vs Cezar Ferreira · Feb 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 17W
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 17L
vs Derek Brunson · May 19 Trevor SmithL2 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Joe Gigliotti · Aug 16L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias TheodorouMetricTrevor Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.80Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Elias TheodorouTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Theodorou(10 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +113.0|Blue -113.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -174.0|Blue +174.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Elias TheodorouTargetTrevor Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Elias Theodorou edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control1:05
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:51Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:26
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 3Elias Theodorou edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:33
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
