Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kaue Fernandes is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Mohammad Yahya has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Kaue Fernandes has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kaue Fernandes has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mohammad Yahya (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mohammad YahyaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Steven Nguyen · Jul 25 Kaue FernandesW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Marc Diakiese · Nov 23W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Mar 25W
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mohammad YahyaMetricKaue Fernandes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.89Δ 5.75 — meaningful gap+2.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mohammad YahyaKaue Fernandes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mohammad Yahya(3 fights)Kaue Fernandes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -62.8|Blue +62.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mohammad YahyaTargetKaue Fernandes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kaue Fernandes edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
