Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Carlos Prates has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Prates (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →W
KOvs Mike Malott · Jan 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25 Carlos PratesW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Li Jingliang · Aug 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Apr 25W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 25W
KOvs Leon Edwards · Nov 25W
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricCarlos Prates
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Neil MagnyCarlos Prates
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Carlos Prates(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -62.1|Blue +62.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Neil MagnyTargetCarlos Prates
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Carlos Prates edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:31
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
