Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yves Edwards is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafaello Oliveira has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Yves Edwards has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yves Edwards (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yves EdwardsL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Dec 12L
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Feb 13L
vs Daron Cruickshank · Jul 13L
SUBvs Piotr Hallmann · Jun 14L
SUBvs Akbarh Arreola · Nov 14 Rafaello OliveiraL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Andre Winner · Mar 10L
SUBvs Gleison Tibau · May 11W
vs Yoislandy Izquierdo · Jul 12L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Jul 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yves EdwardsMetricRafaello Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.57Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yves EdwardsRafaello Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yves Edwards(10 fights)Rafaello Oliveira(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yves EdwardsTargetRafaello Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Rafaello Oliveira rounds
Round 1Yves Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Yves Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:34
Knockdowns2
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
