Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marvin Vettori (53.5%).
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carlos JuniorL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21 Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMetricMarvin Vettori
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Antonio Carlos JuniorMarvin Vettori
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -72.6|Blue +72.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Antonio Carlos JuniorTargetMarvin Vettori
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Antonio Carlos Junior rounds
Round 1Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control2:08
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:12
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:43Control
Round 3Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control3:13
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
