Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mark De La Rosa threatens submissions; Tim Elliott has lost 42% of fights by sub.
- Tim Elliott has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Elliott
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26 Mark De La RosaL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Joby Sanchez · Nov 18L
vs Kai Kara-France · Aug 19L
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Feb 20L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Jun 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricMark De La Rosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.51Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap-1.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim ElliottMark De La Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Mark De La Rosa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +115.1|Blue -115.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.5|Blue +46.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim ElliottTargetMark De La Rosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control4:13
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 2Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:21
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
