Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dione Barbosa has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ernesta Kareckaite has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ernesta Kareckaite has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dione BarbosaW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Miranda Maverick · Jul 24W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Apr 25L
vs Karine Silva · Aug 25W
DECvs Melissa Gatto · Apr 26W
SUBvs Anna Melisano · Jul 26 Ernesta Kareckaite
oldest →W
vs Nicolle Caliari · Jan 25L
vs Regina Tarin · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dione BarbosaMetricErnesta Kareckaite
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19Δ 1.00 — meaningful gap+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dione Barbosa(6 fights)Ernesta Kareckaite(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dione BarbosaTargetErnesta Kareckaite
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Ernesta Kareckaite rounds
Round 1Dione Barbosa edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:47
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 2Ernesta Kareckaite edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:57
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:02Control
Round 3Ernesta Kareckaite edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:07
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
