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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Giga Chikadze won · U-DEC
Elo1477
Giga Chikadze
Elo1453

Giga ChikadzevsOmar MoralesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, October 10, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Giga Chikadze won

U-DEC

Style matchupGiga Chikadze: StrikervsOmar Morales: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Omar Morales wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Giga Chikadze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Omar Morales at -175 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Omar Morales enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Giga Chikadze
Red Corner
VS
Omar Morales
Blue Corner
+136
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
1477
Elo
1453
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Giga ChikadzeL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22
W
vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23
L
vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24
L
vs David Onama · Apr 25
L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25
latest
Omar MoralesL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Gabriel Benitez · May 20
W
vs Shane Young · Mar 21
L
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Sep 21
L
KOvs Uros Medic · May 22
L
vs Chris Duncan · Mar 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Giga ChikadzeMetricOmar Morales
3.75
Strikes / min
3.42
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.18
59%
Strike defense
58%
0.18
TDs / 15 min
0.46
65%
Takedown defense
63%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1545 vs 1520Strikes3.3 vs 3.9Takedowns0.5 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Giga ChikadzeOmar Morales

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Giga Chikadze(10 fights)Omar Morales(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +23.8|Blue -23.8
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Giga ChikadzeTargetOmar Morales

By target zone

32
27% acc · 49%
Head
23
21% acc · 68%
24
86% acc · 37%
Body
7
64% acc · 21%
9
75% acc · 14%
Leg
4
67% acc · 12%

By position

54
40% acc · 83%
Distance
34
27% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
11
52% acc · 17%
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Giga Chikadze rounds
1
even
0
Omar Morales rounds
Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:07
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 3Giga Chikadze edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
65 / 157
Sig Strikes
34 / 128
39.7%
Sig Str %
27.3%
69 / 163
Total Strikes
35 / 130
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:29
Ctrl Time
1:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Omar Morales11 / 3111 / 310 / 00
1Giga Chikadze23 / 5023 / 500 / 00
2Omar Morales11 / 5012 / 520 / 00
2Giga Chikadze11 / 3913 / 410 / 10
3Omar Morales12 / 4712 / 470 / 00
3Giga Chikadze31 / 6833 / 720 / 00

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12

Omar Morales

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6