Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zach Reese enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zach Reese threatens submissions; Jackson McVey has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Zach Reese has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zach Reese has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zach Reese (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zach ReeseL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · Jan 25W
vs Dusko Todorovic · May 25L
vs Sedriques Dumas · Sep 25L
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 26L
KOvs Ryan Gandra · Jul 26 Jackson McVey
oldest →L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 25W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zach ReeseMetricJackson McVey
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.56Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap+3.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Zach ReeseJackson McVey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zach Reese(5 fights)Jackson McVey(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -21.2|Blue +21.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Zach ReeseTargetJackson McVey
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jackson McVey edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control0:58
53Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:23Control
Round 2Zach Reese edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control1:26
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
