Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric SpicelyL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Jul 16W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Sep 16W
SUBvs Alessio Di Chirico · Jan 17L
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Dec 17 Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SpicelyMetricDarren Stewart
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eric SpicelyDarren Stewart
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Spicely(6 fights)Darren Stewart(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -32.9|Blue +32.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +15.0|Blue -15.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eric SpicelyTargetDarren Stewart
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darren Stewart edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:02
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Darren Stewart edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
