Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Duffy threatens submissions; Jake Lindsey has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jake Lindsey (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake LindseyL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Oct 14 Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake LindseyMetricJoe Duffy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.57evenly matched on net striking-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake LindseyJoe Duffy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Lindsey(3 fights)Joe Duffy(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -31.2|Blue +31.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake LindseyTargetJoe Duffy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Duffy edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
