Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Makwan Amirkhani threatens submissions; Jonathan Pearce has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Jonathan Pearce has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makwan Amirkhani
oldest →L
vs Edson Barboza · Oct 20L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21L
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23 Jonathan PearceL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Feb 22W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makwan AmirkhaniMetricJonathan Pearce
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.65Δ 3.45 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Makwan AmirkhaniJonathan Pearce
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -40.4|Blue +40.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Makwan AmirkhaniTargetJonathan Pearce
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jonathan Pearce edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns3
Control1:25
46Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:39Control
Round 2Jonathan Pearce edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
44Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
