Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 23W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cory SandhagenMetricUmar Nurmagomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39evenly matched on net striking+2.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cory SandhagenUmar Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.4|Blue +52.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cory SandhagenTargetUmar Nurmagomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
5
Umar Nurmagomedov rounds
Round 1Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:12
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 3Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 4Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 5Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
