Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Urijah Faber has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Urijah Faber
oldest →L
vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16W
vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16W
KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19 Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Urijah FaberMetricFrankie Saenz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Urijah FaberFrankie Saenz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Urijah Faber(10 fights)Frankie Saenz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +104.9|Blue -104.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Urijah FaberTargetFrankie Saenz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:11
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Round 2Urijah Faber edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control0:50
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:15Control
Round 3Urijah Faber edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:53
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
