Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vicente Luque has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jalin Turner has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jalin Turner (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente Luque
oldest →L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26 Jalin Turner
oldest →W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25W
KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricJalin Turner
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vicente LuqueJalin Turner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Jalin Turner(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.5|Blue +2.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.7|Blue +48.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vicente LuqueTargetJalin Turner
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Vicente Luque edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
