Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Hamill has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Keith JardineNo prior UFC fights on record.
Matt Hamill
oldest →L
DECvs Rampage Jackson · May 11L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Aug 11W
vs Roger Hollett · Sep 12L
vs Thiago Silva · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keith JardineMetricMatt Hamill
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Keith JardineMatt Hamill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Keith Jardine(1 fights)Matt Hamill(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Keith JardineTargetMatt Hamill
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Keith Jardine edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Matt Hamill edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Matt Hamill edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
