Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Alexander Volkov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Alexander Volkov has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricAlexander Volkov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24Δ 3.18 — meaningful gap+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tai TuivasaAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -82.8|Blue +82.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tai TuivasaTargetAlexander Volkov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
51Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
