Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nikita Krylov threatens submissions; Ryan Spann has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ryan Spann threatens submissions; Nikita Krylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Oct 22L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25W
KOvs Marcus Buchecha · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricRyan Spann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikita KrylovRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -33.4|Blue +33.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikita KrylovTargetRyan Spann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control2:39
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
