Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Meunier has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Meunier (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Colby CovingtonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 20L
vs Kamaru Usman · Nov 21W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Dec 24 Jonathan Meunier
oldest →W
vs Richard Walsh · Nov 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Colby CovingtonMetricJonathan Meunier
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+2.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Colby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Colby Covington(10 fights)Jonathan Meunier(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Colby CovingtonTargetJonathan Meunier
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Colby Covington edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns3
Control4:11
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Colby Covington edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control4:33
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Colby Covington edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control0:24
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
