Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier threatens submissions; Anthony Rocco Martin has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Olivier Aubin-Mercier (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19 Olivier Aubin-MercierL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Dec 16W
KOvs Evan Dunham · Apr 18L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony Rocco MartinMetricOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony Rocco MartinOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +117.7|Blue -117.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -197.0|Blue +197.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony Rocco MartinTargetOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Anthony Rocco Martin rounds
2
Olivier Aubin-Mercier rounds
Round 1Olivier Aubin-Mercier edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:56
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 2Olivier Aubin-Mercier edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:05Control
Round 3Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control4:15
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
