Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Armen PetrosyanL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Caio Borralho · Jul 22L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 24L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25 Christian Leroy DuncanW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26W
DECvs Jared Cannonier · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Armen PetrosyanMetricChristian Leroy Duncan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.53evenly matched on net striking+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Armen PetrosyanChristian Leroy Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)Christian Leroy Duncan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -93.4|Blue +93.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Armen PetrosyanTargetChristian Leroy Duncan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Christian Leroy Duncan rounds
Round 1Armen Petrosyan edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Armen Petrosyan edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control1:04
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 3Armen Petrosyan edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:17
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
