Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Hathaway has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Hathaway
oldest →W
vs Diego Sanchez · May 10W
vs Pascal Krauss · May 12W
vs John Maguire · Sep 12L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14 Kris McCrayL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Court McGee · Jun 10L
SUBvs Carlos Eduardo Rocha · Nov 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HathawayMetricKris McCray
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.60Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John HathawayKris McCray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Hathaway(6 fights)Kris McCray(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.3|Blue -139.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John HathawayTargetKris McCray
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kris McCray edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:04
26Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:02Control
Round 2Kris McCray edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:59
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:24Control
Round 3John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns3
Control3:15
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:10Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
