Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lerone Murphy has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gabriel Santos has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Gabriel SantosW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs David Onama · Jun 23W
SUBvs Jack Jenkins · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lerone MurphyMetricGabriel Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.69Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lerone MurphyGabriel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lerone Murphy(10 fights)Gabriel Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +21.7|Blue -21.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lerone MurphyTargetGabriel Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gabriel Santos edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:59
36Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control1:14
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
Round 3Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:05
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
