Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dave Herman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dave Herman is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 71% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16 Dave HermanL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jon Olav Einemo · Jun 11L
KOvs Stefan Struve · Feb 12L
KOvs Roy Nelson · May 12L
SUBvs Minotauro Nogueira · Oct 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel GonzagaMetricDave Herman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.82Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap+1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gabriel GonzagaDave Herman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)Dave Herman(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.2|Blue -138.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gabriel GonzagaTargetDave Herman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gabriel Gonzaga edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
