Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sirwan Kakai has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sirwan Kakai has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20 Sirwan Kakai
oldest →W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricSirwan Kakai
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.44Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-1.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frankie SaenzSirwan Kakai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Sirwan Kakai(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -103.3|Blue +103.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +125.0|Blue -125.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frankie SaenzTargetSirwan Kakai
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:05
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 2Frankie Saenz edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:11
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Frankie Saenz edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control2:25
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
